01 Resilience Ratings

    See which resilience projects are ready for your capital.

    Each project gets one standard record, the same for every reader, with its readiness run against your own criteria. Pass or fail checks come first, so a strong rating can't hide a missing repayment source.

    A 45-minute call to compare our checks with your screen. No capital commitment.

    RISEIn pilot with RISE in Southwest Virginia.
    Resilience rating recordPrototype
    Status
    Prototype sample, not an issued rating
    Record ID
    RR-SWVA-0000
    Method
    v0.3 (prototype)
    Issued
    2026-10-18
    Project
    Microgrid at a critical facility
    Screening
    Passed
    Obligor
    Project company
    Pledged source
    Energy services agreement with the facility owner (not signed)
    Supports the case
    Avoided outage savings
    PillarScore (0 to 100)
    Need
    90
    Resilience value
    78
    Value captureWeakest point
    35
    Proof
    68
    Authority
    83
    Capital fit
    55
    Readiness, against example criteriaGrade
    GrantsReady
    Private capitalConditional
    Project finance debtDevelop
    Open conditions
    1. Sign the energy services agreement.
    2. Confirm interconnection approval with the utility.
    Not a credit rating. Prototype record for illustration; the figures do not describe a real project.
    02 The problem

    Every resilience project gets underwritten from scratch.

    Capital partners have no standard record for a resilience project, and many projects are too small to carry the cost of a full review. Good projects stall while each lender rebuilds the same file.

    <$6B
    of the $67B in adaptation and resilience finance tracked in 2023 came from private sources.
    Climate Policy Initiative estimates, reported in GFANZ, Investing in Resilience (2026), p. 8
    Aerial view of floodwater covering streets and buildings in Grundy, Virginia
    The Levisa Fork floods Grundy, Buchanan County (PDC 2), in 1984. Photo: U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, public domain.
    03 What a rating shows

    What every record contains

    One record, read against your criteriaEvery reader sees the same checks and the same evidence. The readiness view is then run against the investment criteria of the capital partner reviewing it.
    Repayment source and obligorWho owes the money, which revenue is pledged, what backs it up, and whether each piece is in place yet.
    The weakest pointThe one gap that blocks the deal, so the sponsor knows what to fix first.
    Open conditionsWhat still has to be true before close, as a short list.
    04 Method

    How a project is rated

    Many resilience projects earn no revenue on their own, while local assets such as forests, wetlands and water systems do. We rate both and show where one can help pay for the other.

    The Clinch River and its forested banks at Clinch River State Park
    The Clinch River at Clinch River State Park, Southwest Virginia. Photo: Virginia State Parks, CC BY 2.0.
    1. 01Map the regionHazards, value at risk and the funding available today, watershed by watershed.
    2. 02Sort each entryA resilience project, a local revenue asset that can help pay for one, or both. An entry that is neither stops here.
    3. 03Screen, then ratePass or fail checks on the sponsor, site, data and safeguards come first, and linked assets are checked for stacking with grant funds. Any overlap is flagged on the record. A project that fails a check stops, however strong it looks elsewhere.
    4. 04Match to capitalThe readiness view is run against the reviewing partner's criteria for each kind of capital.
    RegionHazards, plansand fundingProjectsScreened, then ratedon six pillarsRevenue assetsContracts, credits, natural assetsIs the revenue contracted?Capital stackPrivate capitalPublic debtGrantsInsuranceLinkedBoth
    Method extension · in development

    Carbon credits and environmental assets

    We are extending the method to the asset side of a project: forest carbon, stream and wetland mitigation credits, and the natural assets behind them. We rate credit revenue as a repayment source: whether it is contracted, at what price and volume, and the delivery risk. Contracted credit sales count toward repayment. Uncontracted credit revenue is shown separately as upside.

    Each credit stream is checked against its registry or state program for stacking with grant funds and for double counting. We do not rate credit quality. Where a third-party credit rating exists, the record cites it.

    PillarWhat it checks
    NeedThe hazard, and how exposed the place is.
    Resilience valueLosses avoided and services kept running.
    Value captureWho can pay, and from what revenue.
    ProofEvidence the project holds up when the hazard hits.
    AuthorityWho can legally build, own and pay for it.
    Capital fitWhether each part of the deal matches the capital partner's stated terms.

    The pillars follow the Resilience Finance Guidebook for Local Governments (Duke University Nicholas Institute and ICLEI USA, 2026). Zero Circle is not affiliated with either.

    05 Readiness

    Readiness by kind of capital

    The same record is graded separately for each kind of capital, against the reviewing partner's criteria. The example below matches the sample record. The scoring model is a prototype: we are still calibrating it and analyzing pilot data.

    CapitalEarlyDevelopConditionalReady
    GrantsReady
    Private capitalConditional
    Project finance debtDevelop
    06 Evidence

    Built for diligence

    Traceability
    Each indicator in a record lists its source and date.
    Structure level
    USACE National Structure Inventory, sponsor documents and local observations. The FEMA National Risk Index adds county context.
    Undocumented claims
    A sponsor's claim with no document behind it counts for less.
    Review
    A Zero Circle analyst reviews every automated extraction before it enters a record.
    Changes
    Deal work never changes a rating. Only new project data does, and every change is logged on the record.

    The record draws on the data pipeline, source tracing and review workflow we built for energy project underwriting.

    State and federal inspectors reviewing flood damage to homes in Raven, Virginia
    State and federal teams assess flood damage to homes in Raven, Buchanan County, June 2004. Photo: John Shea, FEMA, public domain.
    07 The pilot

    Rating resilience projects for financing in Southwest Virginia.

    RISEIn pilot with RISE.
    The Russell Fork running high and brown through the gorge at Breaks Interstate Park
    The Russell Fork in flood at Breaks Interstate Park, Dickenson County (PDC 2), February 2018. Photo: Bpluke01, CC BY-SA 4.0.
    KYTNWVNCLeeScottWiseNortonBuchananDickensonRussellTazewellUpper ClinchUpper LevisaMiddle NewTugPowellNorth Fork HolstonPowell RiverClinch RiverNorth Fork Holston RiverLevisa ForkRussell ForkLENOWISCOPDC 1Cumberland PlateauPDC 2N01020 miFEMA 1% annual chance flood zoneRegulatory floodwayUSGS HUC-8 watershedPlanning district (PDC)County or city lineMain river
    Sources: FEMA National Flood Hazard Layer (special flood hazard areas and floodways); USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset (HUC-8); USGS National Hydrography Dataset; U.S. Census TIGER boundaries. Retrieved 2026-10-18. All eight jurisdictions have digital flood maps; the City of Norton is mapped within the Wise County study. Only streams FEMA has studied are shown, and unmapped streams can still flood.
    08 Lifecycle

    From rating to funded project

    Zero Circle works across the full project finance lifecycle, so resilience investment can grow beyond grants.

    01RateOne standard record for each project and revenue asset.
    02MatchRated projects are listed on our platform for capital partners to review.
    03StructureIf the sponsor asks, our project finance team works on the private and project-level capital stack alongside the sponsor's own advisors and counsel.
    04GovernAfter close, we track reporting on the project's expected community impact and benefits.
    Sponsors pay a flat evaluation fee. If we later structure the deal, we charge a separate success fee at close. Neither fee depends on the rating, and deal work never changes it. If a rated project sells credits, Zero Circle can manage the sale. The record shows that with any fee, and it does not affect the rating.
    09 Pilot partners

    Help shape the rating

    We are looking for a small group of capital partners to compare our checks with how they screen resilience projects today. Pilot partners see the full criteria and help decide what the diligence needs to prove.

    10 Questions

    Questions capital partners ask

    Is this a credit rating?
    No. It is a readiness rating for a project, used alongside your own diligence. It is not a credit rating from a registered agency, and the credit decision stays with you.
    Whose criteria does a project meet?
    Every reader sees the same record, with the same checks and evidence. The readiness view is run against the criteria of the capital partner reviewing it.
    How does Zero Circle get paid?
    Sponsors pay a flat evaluation fee. If we later structure the deal, we charge a separate success fee at close. Neither fee depends on the rating, and deal work never changes it. If a rated project sells credits, Zero Circle can manage the sale. The record shows that with any fee, and it does not affect the rating.
    What do you rate?
    Public and community resilience projects, such as flood protection, water systems, grid and energy resilience and land restoration, along with revenue assets, such as contracts, forest carbon and mitigation credits, that can help pay for them.
    Can we see the full method?
    Yes. Pilot partners review the full criteria, including the screening checks, the six pillars and how each kind of capital is assessed.
    What does a pilot partner commit to?
    A 45-minute call to compare our checks with your own screen, and feedback as the criteria develop. There is no capital commitment.